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Monday Market Update

Please see below weekly news update provided by Blackfinch earlier this afternoon, which provides a summary of current global events.

UK COMMENTARY
The UK Government lifted its COVID-19 alert system to its second-highest level following an announcement about a potentially tough autumn and winter period for the country 

New restrictions were imposed on business activity and movement of people, with PM Johnson confirming that they are ’likely to remain in force for six months’

The main restrictions are: office workers to work from home if they can; all pubs, bar and restaurants to operate a table service and close by 10pm; face coverings to be worn by retail staff, users of taxis and cabs, all staff and customers in indoor hospitality venues except when eating or drinking; COVID-secure guidelines to become legal obligations in all retail, leisure, tourism and ‘other’ sectors; no more than 15 people to attend weddings or wedding receptions; and that the ‘rule of six’ has been extended to all adult indoor team sports

The restrictions have more to do with social distancing and health precautions, and the economic impact is unlikely to be as bad as initially thought

The Rightmove House Price Index indicated house prices rose 0.2% in September from August and were up 5.0% on September 2019

The Flash UK Manufacturing Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) registered 54.3 in September, down from 55.2 in August

The Flash UK Services PMI had the weakest performance in three months, coming in at 55.1 in September, down from 58.8 in August

The latest data from the Office of National Statistics (ONS) suggests that around three million workers – around 12% of the workforce – were still on furlough or partial furlough in early September

Rishi Sunak, Chancellor, acknowledged that he cannot save every job as he announced a new support scheme to enable companies to save viable jobs 

Under the scheme announced, people can work a third of their normal hours and to be paid the normal hourly rate for those hours, with the Government and the employers covering lost pay. All employers will be allowed to apply for the new arrangements from November, regardless of whether they used the furlough scheme

The Government extended the 15% VAT cut for tourism and hospitality sectors to the end of March 2021

UK retail sales volumes grew at the fastest rate since April 2019 in the year to September, according to the Confederation of British Industry’s (CBI’s) Distributive Trades Survey

The Bank of England governor has ruled out negative rates in near future

National Savings & Investments announced a series of dramatic cuts to its rates and premium bond prizes. The premium bond prize fund interest rate is to be cut from 1.40% to 1.00% from December. Their income bonds will be cut from 1.16% AER to just 0.01% from 24 November.
US COMMENTARY
Technical changes to data methodology in Arizona and Texas for calculating confirmed cases and a rebound in testing activity helped explain a jump in cases at the start of the week

The latest US weekly jobless claims data showed a slight increase for the week ended September 19th, which showed that 870,000 Americans filed for unemployment. This was 4,000 higher than the prior week and in contrast to market expectations of a fall to 850,000.

Continuing jobless claims showed some more positive signs, falling to 12.58m from 12.75m but still above estimates of 12.28m

Goldman Sachs halved its growth forecasts for US economic growth in Q4 to 3% from 6%. This is in recognition of the fact that Congress is unlikely to attach additional fiscal stimulus to the continuing resolution. 

Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell conveyed yet another downbeat assessment of the US economy to Congress. US lawmakers are yet to push out fiscal changes that central bankers see as needed.

US housing sales hit a 14-year high as America’s housing market continues to shrug off the Covid-19 crisis, and high unemployment
EUROPE COMMENTARY
Indices struggled in Europe due to pandemic fears as there were a record number of cases reported in the Netherlands and France

Eurozone business growth ground to a halt as services data stumbled. The Markit’s flash Eurozone Composite PMI was just 50.1, barely above stagnation, from 51.9 in August. This suggests the summer recovery is petering out.

Markit’s flash German PMI report showed that service sector activity has hit a three-month low, while manufacturing is growing at the fastest pace in over two years.

The jump in Covid-19 cases in France over recent weeks has dragged Markit’s preliminary French PMI down to 48.5 for September, from 51.6 in August
ASIA COMMENTARY
Shares in Australia were buoyant as the two-week average of new infections in the city of Melbourne fell below 30

The Kospi in South Korea fell 2.61% in afternoon trade after South Korea’s defence ministry said North Korea had killed a missing official from the South earlier this week
GLOBAL COMMENTARY
With fears riding high of tougher lockdown restrictions returning and the corresponding effect on the economy, the oil price fell heavily
COVID-19 COMMENTARY
US firm Novavax is set to start late-stage trials for its COVID-19 vaccine candidate in the UK. It will enrol up to 10,000 participants aged 18-84 over the next six weeks, with half receiving the formulation and half receiving a placebo.

People & Business IFA Limited recognises the importance of communication in the ever-changing world we live in. Please continue to check in with us for the most up-to-date information and data.

Stay safe.

Chloe

28/09/2020

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Financial Advice and The Young Single Woman

Research conducted by Royal London found that people without a financial adviser were more likely to be female, single, earning around £20-£30,000, and under the age of 35. As a 27-year-old single woman, I fall smack-bang into the middle of this category and was disappointed (but not surprised) when the statement presented itself to me. After some research and a lot of self-reflection, I now feel obligated to provide an insight into the intricacies of this finding from a personal standpoint.

‘I don’t earn enough to seek financial advice.’

Talking about money does not come easily for most of us. It is a personal matter and can feel uncomfortable to discuss. Despite this, it is very important that we do talk about the ‘m’ word. At times, my perception of my own finances has made me feel that I did not earn enough money to warrant financial advice. I did not have enough self-confidence to approach a professional from the financial industry. I think my pre-disposed view of a testosterone-fuelled, overly male-dominated Wall Street had led me to believe that investing was not particularly catered towards women.

I am now aware, however, that specialised advice from a professional adviser can help me set realistic financial goals – and reach them. Ironically, my previous perception of my financial status meant that I denied myself the opportunity to strategically grow my wealth in the first place. To back this up, Royal London and the International Longevity Centre UK (ILC) found that, in the space of just 10 years, customers who had sought financial advice were, on average, £47,000 better off than those who had taken care of things themselves.

‘I don’t have time to seek financial advice.’

A young woman living in the 1950’s and 60’s was typically expected to marry, have children, and assume the role of primary caregiver. Times have (thankfully) changed and for the most part, women can now progress into further education and a career of their choice – should they wish to do so.  The ‘modern woman’ is her own person, has her own money, and can have it all. The only downside of this is that many women are required to perform a constant juggling act between family, friends, and career – often prioritising the needs of others before their own. Perhaps women of this day and age are just so busy living a full life, that they do not have time to seek financial advice?

As it turns out, we have plenty of time. On average, women live 5 years longer than men. Therefore, it makes sense for us to prepare for long-term financial stability and the best way to do this is with professional, preferably long-term, financial advice. One of Royal London’s key findings was that those who fostered an ongoing relationship with their adviser were up to 50% better off than those who had only received advice once.

‘I don’t believe that financial advice would benefit me.’

Money makes the world go round and most of us will experience ‘money worries’ at some point in our lives. New statistics from Fidelity International show that 47% of young women have had their mental health affected by financial worries, but only 12% surveyed would ask for help from a financial adviser. When I feel stressed or over-whelmed, I typically tend to seek advice from friends, family or even a work colleague. To improve my general well-being, I might go shopping, force myself to attend a spin class at the gym or perhaps even visit my GP if necessary.

This year, more than any other, has made me realise the importance of looking after my mental health. I recently realised that when I feel positive about my financial situation, I feel positive about myself. Good quality financial advice can improve emotional as well as financial well-being and the practice of sound financial planning in our 20’s and 30’s builds a strong foundation for a secure future.

And the uncertain times that we now find ourselves in makes the prospect of a secure future all the more appealing.

The year of 2020 has been challenging to say the least. Due to the Covid-19 crisis, the UK went into its first national lockdown on the 23rd March, and, by the end of April, my days had blurred into one self-isolated Groundhog Day. I had lost all sense of routine and was struggling to work productively from home. To add to this, my only form of contact with friends and family was via repetitive virtual quizzes. I was then furloughed and spent my days attempting DIY, and my nights battling anxiety caused by a looming threat of redundancy. It is now apparent that my concerns were not without rationale. New findings from the European Institute for Gender Equality and our Institute for Fiscal Studies indicate that women will be disproportionately affected by job losses as a result of the current economic conditions.

Bottom line; women have never been more in need of financial advice than they are now.

Women of the past fought for our right to vote. Today, we are still striving for equality in relation to the gender pay gap, and it now appears that we are stuck in a pensions gender gap too. Research undertaken by NOW: Pensions and the Pensions Policy Institute has revealed that women in their 60’s have an average of £100,000 less in their pension than men do. 

For me, when it comes to a lack of women receiving financial advice; the worst part of it is that this time, we have nobody to blame but ourselves. I, therefore, implore all women to seek financial advice. You may just unlock your financial potential…

Chloe Speed

24/09/2020